Where is Winter?

Today will be partly cloudy with a high of 61. Wednesday will be rainy with a high of 60. Thursday will start out gloomy with possible drizzle but in the afternoon will become partly sunny. Friday will be partly cloudy with a high of 60. The weekend looks cool with shower and a chance of thunderstorms.

I have also found out where winter is. The answer is here http://www.srh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php?wfo=ohx&storyid=78300&source=0

Gloomy Week Ahead

Today is going to be warm with a high of 56 and sunny. The rest of the week will have chances of rain and temperatures in the upper 50s and a few lower 60s. Attached is your latest graphical forecast.

Nice Weather Ahead

Today the clouds will clear off and the sun will return with a high of 49. The weekend will be mostly clear and breezy with a high near 48 for Saturday and Sunday. Monday will be sunny with a high of 50. Tuesday will be mostly sunny with a few clouds and a high of 54. Attached is your redesigned and up to date graphical forecast.

The Soggy and Cool Weather Continues.

Today you can expect rain and more rain and rain tonight. Tomorrow will dry with the sun returning with a high near 50. Friday night will have a low of 32 followed by a sunny Saturday and temperatures near 50. Sunday night will be cold with a low of 24 followed by a high of 54 with sun on Monday. Tuesday will be warm with a high of 55. Attached is a look at radar as of 12:10P.M.

Sunny

The sun returns today with a high of 56. The rest of the work week will follow with rain chances each day. The weekend looks to be chilly with temperature around 43 but mostly sunny.

Tornado Watch

A tornado watch has been issued for a lot of middle TN until 6:00 A.M. Grundy and Marion Counties are not in the watch area but storms are getting close.

Severe Weather Imminent

At this point severe weather is guaranteed. I do not think we are going to get as bad as Memphis and Mississippi is going to get though. The main threat will be for supercells which I think will stay to the west and south but that does not mean they do not have the potential to make it to middle TN. If you have not already done so please make a plan on what to do when severe weather hits tonight. What I do think will be the main threat for us will a squall line which is going to develop later on tonight, in the line will be the potential for bow echos which can have up to 100mph straight line winds but I also cannot rule out the possibility for tornadoes. The timing on this event will be 12A.M. to 7A.M. Monday morning. Attached is maps showing what is expected.

You can get your latest forecast here.http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?CityName=Tracy+City&state=TN&site=OHX&lat=35.259&lon=-85.7519

Severe Weather Highly Possible

Severe weather is scheduled to hit northern Alabama and Middle Tennessee Sunday night through Monday morning.  Now I do not want to cause panic but this will be a very dangerous situation. The main threat will be supercell thunderstorms that will be forming in front of a squall line Sunday night. A secondary threat will be the development of bowechoes which can grow to 20 miles in diameter and produce up to 100mph straight line winds. I want to stress to you to be aware of the weather and have your weather radios on. To give you an idea of the seriousness of this developing situation SPC is considering to upgrade the risk to a moderate risk for severe weather, statistically this would be a 30-45% chance of severe weather.  

New Tornado Watch

The tornado watch for most of west TN has been cancelled. A new tornado watch has been issued for most of middle and east TN along with parts of northern Alabama and Georgia.  The main threat with these storms is straight line wind and cloud to ground lightning. Today's high will be 55 with shower and thunderstorms off and on until about 1 P.M.

Tornado Watch

A tornado watch is now in effect for most of middle and west Tennessee until 5:00 A.M. Please have you weather radios on and set to alarm, also stay tuned to local media, and commercial radio. As of 11:00 P.M. a squall line is moving through West Tennessee near Clarksville. The storms that will affect us will be coming in from the southwest. I will be monitoring this situation as it progresses overnight and will update you on any warnings as they are issued.

URGENT Weather Information

I do not want to cause panic but please be advised that there is a slight chance for a severe weather outbreak Sunday night into Monday morning. Although this is not expected to be anything like April 27, there is a high probability for supercell thunderstorms to develop Sunday night. I know it can be a little annoying when you are trying to sleep and the weather radio keeps going off, but I urge everyone to have your weather radio on and set to alarm Sunday night. You will not have time to prepare for a tornado when it is headed toward you in the middle of the night so please make plans at this time on what you will do if you come under a tornado warning.

You may read more about the threat at this link http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day3otlk.html
 

Chance for Severe weather tonight

Tonight and tomorrow expect showers and thunderstorms. The storm prediction center has put middle Tennessee under a slight risk for severe weather. The main threat will be for damaging winds but there is a chance for a embedded super cell. Be sure to stay tuned to your NOAA weather radio. I will be monitoring the situation and updating this site if any counties in middle TN do come under any warnings. Attached is the map showing were severe weather is possible.

Soggy, Cloudy Week Ahead

Today and tomorrow will be mostly cloudy with showers and maybe a thunderstorm arriving Friday night. Saturday temperatures will be around 59 with showers and thunderstorms. Sunday will be around 60 with Clouds and drizzle. Monday temperatures will be 54 cloudy. Tuesday will be sunny and 54. Now to a long range look. For those who want snow, it might be around the corner. Long range models are hinting at arctic oscillation going negative by January's end. I will give more details on this as more refined data becomes available. Attached is a graph for arctic oscillation and a graphics showing how arctic oscillation works and a model showing the rain for Saturday.

Good News and Bad News

The good news is Thursday will be sunny the bad news the temperature will top at 36 °F. After Thursday the temperatures warm with rain chances for the next 5 days.

Update On Thunderstorm Potential

This is a current view at radar as of 2:50 P.M. The storm have weakened since lunch time and the heaviest rain and winds are now going north and south of us. The southern line is now doing what is called training which means the storms are lined up and crossing the same area over and over causing heavy rainfall totals in a short amount of time. This causes flooding and a flood warning has been issued as you can see the green warning box in northern Alabama and Mississippi on radar.

Severe Weather Threat

Be on the lookout for severe thunderstorms starting at 2-3 P.M. Attached is a current view at radar. The red boxes are severe thunderstorm warnings and the purple boxes are tornado warnings.

Rain and cold.

Rain off and on through out today with a chance of a thunderstorm. Tonight and tomorrow will be cold, but the sun does return. Thursday looks quiet and partly sunny with rain returning late Friday night. Saturday will be cloudy with drizzle, but Sunday looks to be partly cloudy with temperature around 60. Monday and Tuesday will be cloudy. Attached is your latest graphical forecast.

Thunderstorms and snow.

Tomorrow you can expect the temperature to be right around 60°F with rain and a possibility for pop up thunderstorms. Rainfall totals locally will be .6 inches. Then heading into late tomorrow night the temperature will fall to around 25°F with flurries possible. Attached is the latest the 3 day rainfall totals.

Latest Forecast

MLK Day will be cloudy and cool with rain late. Tuesday brings rain and a possibility for Thunder Storms. The middle of next week the sun comes back but so does cold temperatures. Next weekend looks good with sun Saturday and temperatures approaching 60 degrees. Sunday will be cloudy but warm at 60 degrees. Attached is your latest forecast.

Colder Tonight

It will be even colder tonight get all the details here http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?CityName=Tracy+City&state=TN&site=OHX&lat=35.259&lon=-85.7519

School Closings

Grundy County Schools and Marion County Schools will be closed tomorrow.

Here comes the snow

We started out with 42 degrees as you headed out to school and work but that will be a different story as you are on your way home. Expect temperatures in the lower 30s winds at 10-15mph and some white stuff falling. Total snow fall accumulations will be between 1-2 inches.

You can get all the complete details at these links.

http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?CityName=Monteagle&state=TN&site=MRX&textField1=35.24&textField2=-85.8397&e=0

http://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=TNZ079&warncounty=TNC061&firewxzone=&local_place1=Tracy+City+TN&product1=Winter+Weather+Advisory

Check it out

Hey folks check out Monteagle Mountain Weather's new sister site http://weatherwarriors.wordpress.com/ from Central Alabama, giving you the very latest weather information.

Hytop Radar

As of 3:31 P.M. the Hytop National Weather Service Radar is fully operational once again.

Snow Update

The Monteagle area is now forecast to get a 1/2 inch of snow. You can get the full story here   http://www.srh.noaa.gov/bna/

Return of the Sun

Rain off and on today. Thursday will start off with light rain turning to possible snow showers. Due to the excessive rain any snow accumulation will be light and limited to above ground surfaces. The sun returns to the area Friday-Sunday, but Friday will be deceiving due to the windchill will make it feel like the lower 20s. Attached is your latest forecast and a view of radar at taken at 8:28 A.M. showing the main line of rain has moved through with a second line already on its way.

Weather in the Morning

Expect thunderstorms and heavy rain overnight and in the morning. Attached are views of the rain on its way.

Storms and Snow

Heavy rain and thunderstorms arriving tonight at 9-11 P.M. Tomorrow brings rain most of the day before tapering off with a chance for flurries and a light dusting on cars Thursday evening into Thursday night.

Your latest forecast is available here http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?CityName=Tracy+City&state=TN&site=OHX&lat=35.259&lon=-85.7519

Attached is a view of the rain to come in tonight.

Snow

Rain continues along with a chance of flurries Thursday. The end of the week brings cold temperatures.

Soggy Week Ahead

Most of next week can be described as rainy. We should start to dry up towards the end of the week just as cold temperatures come back in. Attached is your up to date forecast.

Rain, Rain, Go Away

As we all awoke this morning we had already had some light showers. At the 8:50 A.M. time frame we had some moderate rain showers rolling through which have now lifted to the east toward Spring City. The possibility of off and on showers is going to stay with us for the rest today and most of next week. Tuesday night into Wednesday brings the chance for some heavier rain and just a slight chance for a clap of thunder. Attached is a look at radar as of 10:42 A.M. and a 10 day temperature out look. Also the latest forecast is available at http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?CityName=Tracy+City&state=TN&site=OHX&lat=35.259&lon=-85.7519

Rain Total For The Next 5 Days

Rain and Cold

The Weekend is going to be filled with rain. Next week doesn't look any better with rain chances through the first half of the week before the sun comes back along with the cold temperatures. If you click on the forecast it will display in a full screen window.

Where is the Snow

If you remember a couple of days ago I posted a link on here from the NWS detailing how our current weather pattern looks to be changing here is an additional article that expands on that subject.

http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/pattern-change-winter-coming-snow-cold/59847

Warm Today & Tomorrow

Here is the latest 5 day forecast. A warm two days ahead followed by cool temperatures and chances of rain.

Warm Temperatures Returning

After two frigid mornings the warm temperatures are returning. The high today will be 42 degrees and tomorrow high will be 50 degrees. I do how ever see the possibility a week and a half from now for cold temperatures to come in again. Starting today the NWS Hytop radar site will be offline through the 15th to undergo an upgrade to Dual Polarization.

Get the latest forecast here http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?CityName=Tracy+City&state=TN&site=OHX&lat=35.259&lon=-85.7519

School Delay

Grundy County Schools will be delayed 2hrs Tuesday 1/3/12

Cooold

You can get the latest forecast here.http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?CityName=Tracy+City&state=TN&site=OHX&lat=35.259&lon=-85.7519

Tuesday morning may bring NEGATIVE windchills with 12-13 degree temps.

Dangerous Situation Tuesday Morning

You can get the latest forcast here http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?CityName=Tracy+City&state=TN&site=OHX&lat=35.259&lon=-85.7519

The following pictures are forecast models for Temperature, Wind Chill, and Wind Speed for Tuesday Morning.
I have also uploaded a National Weather Service chart for wind chill based on temperature and windspeed.



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